油气预测储量区块升级评价方法

秦伟军; 付兆辉

doi:10.11781/sysydz201501117

油气预测储量区块升级评价方法

doi: 10.11781/sysydz201501117

中国石化石油勘探开发研究院, 北京 100083

详细信息

作者简介:
秦伟军(1972-),男,博士,教授级高级工程师,从事油气地质与勘探规划研究.E-mail: qinwj.syky@sinopec.com.

中图分类号: TE15
计量
- 文章访问数: 1283
- HTML全文浏览量: 124
- PDF下载量: 1031
- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2014-05-17
- 修回日期: 2014-12-25
- 刊出日期: 2015-01-28

Improving evaluation of predicted hydrocarbon reserve zones

SINOPEC Petroleum Exploration & Production Research Institute, Beijing 100083, China

摘要

摘要: 以油气预测储量区块为研究对象,以优选区块升级为目的,提出了升级性评价方法、升级率评价方法、经济评价方法及综合评价方法.研究提出:升级难易程度指数值用于升级性定量评价;升级概率值用于升级率评价;贴现现金流法计算的储量价值用于经济评价.综合评价则利用升级难易程度指数值、升级概率值、经济价值"一维排队,三维优选".利用综合评价值,将预测储量区块分为可升级并获得大中规模储量区块、可升级并获得中小规模储量区块、需要评价研究升级的储量区块、暂不升级的储量区块4类,便于勘探决策.
- 升级评价 /
- 油气预测储量区块 /
- 油气储量计算
Abstract: Predicted hydrocarbon reserves were studied, and four evaluation methods for improving reserve estimates were proposed, including possibility evaluation, upgrading rate evaluation, economic evaluation and comprehensive evaluation. A difficulty index was used to evaluate the possibility of reserve upgrading. Reserve upgrading probability calculation and test were used to evaluate the upgrading rate. A discounted cash flow method was applied in the economic evaluation. The difficulty index, probability calculation and economic methods were jointly used in the comprehensive evaluation. The predicted hydrocarbon reserve blocks were classified into four types according to the comprehensive evaluation, including the blocks with large or medium potential for upgrading, the blocks with medium or small potential for upgrading, the blocks remaining for evaluation, and the blocks not to upgrade at present.
- upgrading evaluation /
- predicted hydrocarbon upgrading block /
- hydrocarbon reserve calculation

HTML全文

参考文献(24)

[1]	GB/T 19492-2004石油天然气资源/储量分类[S].北京:国家质量技术监督局,2004:1-6. GB/T 19492-2004 Petroleum and natural gas resources/reserves division[S].Beijing:State Bureau of Quality and Technical Supervision,2004:1-6.
[2]	中华人民共和国石油天然气行业标准 SY/T5520-1996 圈闭评价技术规范[S].北京:中国标准出版社,1996. Petroleum and natural gas industry standards of People's Republic of China SY/T5520-1996 Technical specification for trap evaluation[S].Beijing:China Standardization Press,1996.
[3]	郭元岭.油气勘探发展基本规律[J].石油实验地质,2013,35(1):72-75. Guo Yuanling.Basic regularity of petroleum exploration development[J].Petroleum Geology & Experiment,2013,35(1):72-75.
[4]	陈元千,郝明强,李飞.油气资源量评估方法的对比与评论[J].断块油气田,2013,20(4):447-453. Chen Yuanqian,Hao Mingqiang,Li Fei.Comparison and review of estimating methods of oil and gas resources[J].Fault-Block Oil & Gas Field,2013,20(4):447-453.
[5]	康永尚,刁顺,陈安霞,等.中外油气资源分类体系对比和资源潜力概念探讨[J].地球科学与环境学报,2013,35(1):66-73. Kang Yongshang,Diao Shun,Chen Anxia,et al.Comparison of domestic and foreign petroleum resource classification systems and discussion on resource potential concepts[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2013,35(1):66-73.
[6]	中华人民共和国地质矿产行业标准 DZ/T0217-2005 石油天然气储量计算规范[S].北京:中国标准出版社,2005. Geological mineral industry standard DZ/T0217-2005 of People's Republic of China,Specification for calculating oil and gas reserves[S].Beijing:China Standardization Press,2005.
[7]	金之钧,张金川.油气资源评价技术[M].北京:石油工业出版社,1999. Jin Zhijun,Zhang Jinchuan.Oil and gas resource evaluation technology[M].Beijing:Petroleum Industry Publishing House,1999.
[8]	魏萍,张玲,翟中喜,等.SEC石油储量替代率预测方法探讨[J].石油实验地质,2013,35(6):702-706. Wei Ping,Zhang Ling,Zhai Zhongxi,et al.Forecasting methods of SEC reserves replacement rate[J].Petroleum Geology & Experiment,2013,35(6):702-706.
[9]	张付兴.SEC剩余经济可采储量影响因素分析[J].油气地质与采收率,2013,20(3):95-97. Zhang Fuxing.Analysis on influencing factors of SEC reserves evaluation[J].Petroleum Geology and Recovery Efficiency,2013,20(3):95-97.
[10]	卢广钦.SEC剩余经济可采储量替代率与产量的关系及影响因素[J].油气地质与采收率,2013,20(3):60-64. Lu Guangqin.Study on the relationship and influencing factors of replacement ratio and output on SEC remaining economic reco-verable reserves[J].Petroleum Geology and Recovery Efficiency,2013,20(3):60-64.
[11]	黄学斌,魏萍,郭鸣黎,等.SEC储量成本指标计算方法探讨[J].石油实验地质,2014,36(4):506-510. Huang Xuebin,Wei Ping,Guo Mingli,et al.Discussion of cost index calculation method on SEC reserves[J].Petroleum Geology & Experiment,2014,36(4):506-510.
[12]	衣艳静,鲁兵,原瑞娥,等.国际合作项目SEC储量评估特点及面临的问题[J].特种油气藏,2014,21(1):7-11. Yi Yanjing, Lu Bing, Yuan Ruie, et al.Features of SEC reserves estimation and existing problems in international cooperation projects [J].Special Oil & Gas Reservoirs,2014,21(1):7-11.
[13]	Robert M O,Nahum S.A process for evaluting exploration prospects[J].AAPG Bulletin,1997,81(7):1087-1109.
[14]	Rose P R.Risk analysis and management of petroleum exploration ventures[M].Tulsa: AAPG,2001.
[15]	郭秋麟,米石云.油气勘探目标评价与决策分析[M].北京:石油工业出版社,2004. Guo Qiulin,Mi Shiyun.Assesment of petroleum exploration target and exploration decisions[M].Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,2004.
[16]	宋建国,张光亚.勘探目标评价方法[J].世界石油工业,1998,5(8):10-14. Song Jianguo, Zhang Guangya. Exploration target evaluation me-thod[J].Petroleum Industry in the World,1998,5(8):10-14.
[17]	李伟,鲁雪松,柳少波,等.随机模拟在油气资源评价中的应用[J].断块油气田,2013,20(4):443-446. Li Wei,Lu Xuesong,Liu Shaobo,et al.Application of stochastic simulation in oil and gas resources assessment[J].Fault-Block Oil & Gas Field,2013,20(4):443-446.
[18]	White D A.Geologic risking guide for prospect and palys[J].AAPG Bulletin,1993,77(12):2048-2061.
[19]	方小东,郭元岭,胡兴中.油气勘探状态评价新方法[J].河南石油,2005,19(6):6-8. Fang Xiaodong,Guo Yuanling,Hu Xingzhong.New evaluationmethod of petroleum exploration[J].Henan Petroleum,2005,19(6):6-8.
[20]	邴绍献.油田单井可采储量定量预测模型[J].油气地质与采收率,2013,20(1):85-88. Bing Shaoxian.Quantitative forecasting model for recoverable reserves of single well[J].Petroleum Geology and Recovery Efficiency,2013,20(1):85-88.
[21]	徐桂华,伍松柏,杨万芹,等.成熟探区探井"出油点"资源潜力分析[J].特种油气藏,2014,21(1):56-58. Xu Guihua,Wu Songbo,Yang Wanqin,et al.Analysis of potential resources of the "Oil Seepage Points" in exploration wells of mature exploration area [J].Special Oil & Gas Reservoirs,2014,21(1):56-58.
[22]	中国石油天然气总公司计划局及中国石油天然气总公司规划设计院.石油工业建设项目经济评价方法与参数[M].2版.北京:石油工业出版社,1994:1-88. China National Petroleum Company and China National Petro-leum Company Planning Bureau of Planning and Design Institute.Risk analysis on oil and gas resources evaluation method discussion[M].2nd ed.Beijing:Petroleum Industry Publishing House,1994:1-88.
[23]	周总瑛,唐跃刚.油气资源评价中风险分析方法探讨[J].长江大学学报:社会科学版,2004,27(1):108-111. Zhou Zongying,Tang Yuegang.A discussion on method of risk analysis for oil and gas resources evaluation[J].Yangtze University:Social Sciences,2004,27(1):108-111.
[24]	王强,徐立恒,陈践发.川东北地区大中型气藏天然气特征及气源[J].石油与天然气地质,2011,32(6):867-872. Wang Qiang,Xu Liheng,Chen Jianfa.Characteristics and origin of natural gas in large-and medium-sized gas reservoirs in northeast Sichuan Basin[J].Oil & Gas Geology,2011,32(6):867-872.