多层圈闭资源量计算方法研究——以两层圈闭为例

杨双; 闫相宾; 刘志鹏; 蔡利学; 马晓娟

doi:10.11781/sysydz201605698

多层圈闭资源量计算方法研究——以两层圈闭为例

doi: 10.11781/sysydz201605698

中国石化石油勘探开发研究院, 北京 100083

基金项目: 中国石化勘探部署决策平台建立与应用（G5800-14-ZS-YTB001）资助。

详细信息

作者简介:
杨双(1973-),男,博士,高级工程师,从事油藏描述、圈闭评价优选与管理等研究.E-mail:yangshuang.syky@sinopec.com.

中图分类号: TE155
计量
- 文章访问数: 920
- HTML全文浏览量: 77
- PDF下载量: 206
- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2016-02-18
- 修回日期: 2016-06-28
- 刊出日期: 2016-09-28

Resource calculation methods for multilayer traps:Case study of two-layer traps

SINOPEC Petroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute, Beijing 100083, China

摘要

摘要: 容积法是圈闭地质资源量计算常用方法，包括确定法和概率法2种。与确定法相比，概率法可提供不同风险的圈闭地质资源量值，能更好地对圈闭地质资源量的不确定性进行评估。当勘探目标具有多套目的层时，以往是将各目的层圈闭资源量算术加和作为勘探目标资源量，该算法经常造成与实际地质储量相差较为悬殊，从而失去钻前资源量计算参考价值。在考虑圈闭各目的层风险（或含油气概率）的基础上，通过分析各目的层之间的地质相关关系，即：无地质相关、部分地质相关和完全地质相关3种情况，计算出不同成功情况下的圈闭含油气概率和风险后的地质资源量，并利用风险后的地质资源量除以至少有1个目的层成功的含油气概率，最终得到多层圈闭（勘探目标）资源量。
- 概率法 /
- 地质资源量 /
- 多层圈闭 /
- 东濮凹陷
Abstract: Volumetric method is a formal way to predict the in-place or recoverable resources of a play or trap, including deterministic and probabilistic methods. Probabilistic evaluation is an optimal way for the assessment of resources in tectonic traps, but the resource assessment of targets with multiple strata is usually calculated by directly and simply cumulating the resources of individual targets using given specified success probability weights. This prediction generally does not correctly reflect actual geological conditions. Taking into account the risk of each target stratum in the trap, we analyzed the geological correlation between each target, including non-correlation, partial and complete geological correlation, and calculated the probability of in-place resources under different conditions. Then the risked resource in-place is divided by the probability of hydrocarbons existing in at least one of the targets to obtain the resource volumes of multilayer traps.
- probabilistic evaluation /
- in-place resource /
- multilayer trap /
- Dongpu Sag

HTML全文

参考文献(9)

[1]	杨通佑.石油及天然气储量计算方法[M].2版.北京:石油工业出版社,1998:17-39. Yang Tongyou.Estimation approach for oil and gas[M].2nd ed.Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,1998:17-39.
[2]	田军.对油藏评价管理工作的认识和探讨[J].中国石油勘探,2007(2):58-61. Tian Jun.Understanding and research on reservoir evaluation management[J].Petroleum Exploration of China,2007(2):58-61.
[3]	Rose P R.油气勘探项目的风险分析与管理[M].窦立荣,译.北京:石油工业出版社,2002:8-75. Rose P R.Risk analysis and management of petroleum exploration ventures[M].Dou Lirong,Trans.Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,2002:8-75.
[4]	贾成业,贾爱林,邓怀群,等.概率法在油气储量计算中的应用[J].天然气工业,2009,29(11):83-85. Jia Chengye,Jia Ailin,Deng Huaiqun,et al.Application of the stochastic method to oil and gas reserves estimation[J].Natural Gas Industry,2009,29(11):83-85.
[5]	武守诚.石油资源地质评价导论[M].北京:石油工业出版社,1994:161-284. Wu Shoucheng.Introduction of petroleum resources assessment[M].Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,1994:161-284.
[6]	吕鸣岗,程永才,袁自学,等.石油天然气储量计算规范DZ/T 0217-2005[S].北京:中国标准出版社,2005:7-33. Lv Minggang,Cheng Yongcai,Yuan Zixue,et al.Regulation of petroleum reserves estimation DZ/T 0217-2005[S].Beijing:China Standards Press,2005:7-33.
[7]	文环明,肖慈珣,李薇,等.蒙特卡洛法在油气储量估算中的应用[J].成都理工学院学报,2002,29(5):487-492. Wen Huanming,Xiao Cixun,Li Wei,et al.Applications of the Monte-Carlo method to the petroleum reserves estimation[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Technology,2002,29(5):487-492.
[8]	胡允栋.基于不确定性分析的油气储量分类与评估方法.北京:中国地质大学(北京),2007:25-67. Hu Yundong.Oil and gas reserve classification and estimation on the basis of uncertainty analysis.Beijing:China University of Geosciences (Beijing),2007:25-67.
[9]	闫相宾,李军,杨双.三级圈闭含油气概率和资源量表征方法探讨[J].石油实验地质,2014,36(4):495-499. Yan Xiangbin,Li Jun,Yang Shuang.An approach to hydrocarbon-bearing probability and resource characterization of third-order trap[J].Petroleum Geology & Experiment,2014,36(4):495-499.